(Way Too Early) 2018 Passing Game Weapons Rankings

In my article “Defining Franchise Quarterback,” I defined franchise quarterback as one who consistently elevates his supporting cast (vs. being propped up by them). What I found was that the performance for all quarterbacks is tied closely to the quality of their supporting casts.

In Part One of this series, I ranked the offensive line for each of the 32 teams in the NFL. I started this analysis in the trenches but the quality of passing game weapons is the most important external factor when projecting a quarterback’s performance. In this post, I’ll rank the quality of the passing game weapons for all 32 teams.

Methodology

  1. Player quality determined using 3 year average from PFF.
  2. 2nd year player grades regressed towards average starters at their position.
  3. Rookie players assigned average grade for starters at their position.
  4. Player grades weighted based on projected percentage his team’s 2018 passing yards pulled from PFF fantasy tools.
  5. Weighted grades are summed to create Weapons Score

Tier 1

TEAM Weapons Rank Weapons Score
PIT 1 80.74
ATL 2 78.43
KC 3 77.64
MIN 4 77.46

Tier 2

TEAM Weapons Rank Weapons Score
TB 5 77.00
CIN 6 75.35
NE 7 75.17
NO 8 74.92
CLV 9 74.56
DET 10 74.56
DEN 11 73.86
LAC 12 73.83

Tier 3

TEAM Weapons Rank Weapons Score
LAC 12 73.83
TEN 13 73.54
CAR 14 73.32
CHI 15 73.31
ARZ 16 73.17
PHI 17 72.82
DAL 18 72.81
SF 19 72.48

Tier 4

TEAM Weapons Rank Weapons Score
BLT 20 72.08
NYG 21 71.43
LAR 22 71.33
OAK 23 71.08
SEA 24 70.42
HST 25 69.90
GB 26 69.60
IND 27 69.41

Tier 5

TEAM Weapons Rank Weapons Score
BUF 28 69.15
WAS 29 68.91
JAX 30 68.70
MIA 31 68.69
NYJ 32 65.26

There it is. Hit me up on Twitter to let me know what you think.

To wrap things up, I’ll combine the offensive line and weapons scores to determine which QB will have the best supporting cast heading into 2018.

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